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🛡️5 parts

Risk & Position Sizing

Build position sizes from drawdown math, realistic trading costs, and uncertainty in backtest results before applying Kelly.

  1. 01
    Loss-Profit Asymmetry: The Math That Kills Your Deposit
    Mar 1, 2026#risk management

    Loss-Profit Asymmetry: The Math That Kills Your Deposit

    Why losing 50% requires 100% growth to recover, how volatility drag destroys capital even in sideways markets, and which formulas every algo trader must know for building risk management.

  2. 02
    Slippage curves, not slippage constants: cost models that survive contact with live trading
    Jul 23, 2026#slippage

    Slippage curves, not slippage constants: cost models that survive contact with live trading

    Replace constant-bps slippage with size, volatility and liquidity-dependent cost curves: the square-root law, fitting curves from TCA fills or public data, regime stress multipliers, and why your strategy leaderboard reshuffles.

  3. 03
    Funding Rates Kill Your Leverage: Why PnL×50x Is a Fiction
    Mar 9, 2026#algo trading

    Funding Rates Kill Your Leverage: Why PnL×50x Is a Fiction

    How funding rates on Binance/Bybit turn beautiful high-leverage backtest results into guaranteed losses. Formulas, recalculation of real strategies, and the maximum leverage at which funding does not eat into profits.

  4. 04
    Monte Carlo Bootstrap: How to Get Confidence Intervals for a Backtest in 10 Lines of Code
    Mar 6, 2026#algotrading

    Monte Carlo Bootstrap: How to Get Confidence Intervals for a Backtest in 10 Lines of Code

    Why a single-point estimate from a backtest is a dangerous illusion. How Monte Carlo bootstrap in 2 seconds of computation gives you a 95% confidence interval for PnL and MaxDD, and why this is a mandatory step before launching a strategy in production.

  5. 05
    The Kelly Criterion for Strategies: How to Size Positions and Allocate Capital
    Jun 23, 2026#risk management

    The Kelly Criterion for Strategies: How to Size Positions and Allocate Capital

    A strategy with positive expected value can still blow up your account if you get the bet size wrong. We walk through the Kelly criterion from deriving the formula to a portfolio of strategies: why full Kelly is dangerous, how fractional Kelly captures 75% of the growth at half the volatility, and an interactive calculator that shows how the Kelly fraction moves return and risk.